Wednesday, September 30, 2015

Week 5 - "Pay No Attention to that Man Behind the Curtain..."


Here's a closer look at the "raw" strength of schedule (SOS) and O/D efficiency rankings that go into the My Numbers Top 25 and a comparison of a few teams near and dear to the hearts of a couple loyal readers.  If your team is in single digits in any category, that's a good thing (Stanford's SOS, for example) and if you're in single digits in more than one category, even better (LSU's SOS and rushing ypa rank, for example).  If your team, on the other hand, is in triple digits in any category, that's a bad thing (Northwestern's passing ypa, MSU's passing ypa against, for example).  W/L pct rank and SOS are given double weight in the rating calculation

Volatility, especially early in the season, is a given with an approach like this.  Don't sweat the details, Spartans and Wildcats.  It's too early.  You're both undefeated and off to good and possibly historically good seasons.  Keeping winning, and everything will take care of itself! 

Winning trumps everything in the end.  Before the end, we build models. 

'My Numbers' rank W L WL pct rnk sos opass dpass orush drush 'My Numbers' rating
1 LSU 3 0 1 5 106 12 4 36 21.3
2 Notre Dame 4 0 1 42 22 41 6 61 27.0
3 Georgia 4 0 1 90 4 16 3 27 29.0
4 Alabama 3 1 30 14 107 11 30 3 29.9
5 Stanford 3 1 30 7 17 46 65 45 30.9
9 Iowa 4 0 1 72 26 44 44 10 33.8
21 Northwestern 4 0 1 43 112 4 63 60 40.9
UR Michigan State 4 0 1 64 41 106 84 32 49.1

No comments:

Post a Comment